tl;dr, pollsters are twisting twice as…

tl;dr, pollsters are twisting twice as many knobs in 2024 as they were in 2016 (due to skewed and decreased response rates and scrutiny of past misses). Separately, a 50/50 tied result is likely to catch the least shit in the event of another polling miss next week.

The shocking conclusion? Pollsters are twisting the knobs such that most results come in around 50/50. More knobs, more bias. goodauthority.org/news/election-poll-vote2024-data-pollster-choices-weighting/

Polling paradox: what actually shapes the numbers?

1.0k likes · October 29, 2024 at 8:09 PM UTC

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